SUMMARY
President’s approval rating above 70%, underpinned by government consistency
President Claudia Sheinbaum said that, despite what some commentators claim, polls show her approval rating is above 70%. She attributed that support to not betraying the Transformation project, to consistency, and to daily work. The morning presidential press conference, she said, serves to inform the population and give context to political debate, but people’s trust comes from actions.
Homicides down: 37% fewer in 14 months
Between September 2024 and November 2025, intentional homicides dropped 37%, from 86.9 to 54.7 daily cases, the lowest level for the month of November since 2015. This translates into 32 fewer homicides per day and 14 consecutive months of declines.
The sharpest reductions were in Zacatecas (–70%), Chiapas (–58%), and Quintana Roo (–56.7%), along with significant decreases in Guanajuato, Baja California, the State of Mexico, Tabasco, and Sinaloa.
Operational results: strong blows against organized crime
Between October 2024 and November 2025, authorities made 38,700 arrests, seized 311 tons of drugs and more than 4 million fentanyl pills, and confiscated 20,169 weapons.
Addressing root causes: over 3 million people reached
The territorial strategy continues to advance: in 15 states, millions of services, fairs, and peace events have been held, and community committees have been installed. The Well-Being Open Air Market benefited 61,000 families, and the turn-in-your-weapons program enabled the exchange of 8,700 firearms.
1944 Water Treaty: Mexico is complying, but drought sets limits
The President responded that although Donald Trump threatens tariffs, Mexico is complying with the Water Treaty, but deliveries depend on drought conditions, and the country will not jeopardize the water needed by peasant farmers and communities.
The Treaty requires delivering 2,158 million m³ per cycle, and Article 4 allows for postponing deliveries during extreme drought, as in 2022–2023. Sheinbaum reiterated that Mexico can comply and that negotiations must acknowledge these constraints.
Explosion in Michoacán: not a car bomb or a terrorist act
It was clarified that the explosion in Michoacán did not involve a car bomb but a vehicle occupied by members of a criminal group who entered the area.
The case is now in the hands of the Federal Attorney General’s Office (FGR) and is linked to the dispute between the New Generation Jalisco Cartel (CJNG) and United Cartels. It was not an attack on self-defense groups nor a terrorist act, but organized crime activity related to arms trafficking and weapons’ stockpiling.
Duarte’s illegal dam and review of water concessions
In Chihuahua, unauthorized water-retention activity was detected, as well as officials who granted close to 150 concessions, hoarding around 47 million m³ of the vital liquid. These cases—including those from the Fox and Peña Nieto administrations—are being subject to detailed review under the new law.
The legal proceedings also continue regarding the illegal dam built by former Chihuahua governor César Duarte, which stored 700,000 m³ of water and affected communities; a judge ordered its demolition and the case remains open.
Follow-up meeting on the U.S.–Mexico Security Understanding
On Thursday, December 11, security teams from both countries will meet in Mexico, These include the U.S. Departments of State, Homeland Security and National Security, Justice, the Treasury, and the Pentagon, together with their Mexican counterparts, as part of the Security Implementation Group.
